The data behind the AI job transition

Summaries of the most important institutional research — what it says, what it means for your career.

Key numbers from the research corpus

56%

Wage premium for AI-skilled roles

PwC

78M

Net new jobs created by 2030

WEF

Growth in demand for AI fluency

McKinsey

40%

Global jobs with AI exposure

IMF

300M

Jobs exposed to AI globally

Goldman Sachs

$581B

Global AI investment in 2025

Stanford HAI

All research — 13 reports documented

·January 2025

The Future of Jobs Report 2025

78 million net new jobs created by 2030, alongside 92 million displaced — net positive, but massive structural churn.

job creationdisplacementskills
78M
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·June 2025

Global AI Jobs Barometer

56% wage premium for AI-skilled roles — up from 25% the previous year, reflecting intense employer competition for AI-fluent talent.

wagesskillsjob creation
56%
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·2025

The State of AI in 2025

Demand for AI fluency grew 7× in 2 years — from 1 million workers with AI skills to 7 million, with demand still outpacing supply.

skillsjob creationwages
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·2026

AI Will Reshape More Jobs Than It Replaces

50–55% of US jobs will be substantially reshaped in the next 3 years — but full displacement will affect only 10–15%, with most change being augmentation.

displacementjob creationaugmentation
50–55%
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·2025

AI at Work: From Pilots to Scale

Companies that successfully scale AI achieve 3× productivity gains compared to those stuck in pilot phase — and the difference is almost always human factors, not technology.

augmentationskills
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·2026

AI Transformation Is a Workforce Transformation

Successful AI transformation requires investing in people, not just technology — organisations that neglect workforce strategy achieve only 20% of potential AI value.

skillsaugmentation
20%
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·2026

AI Index Report 2026

$581 billion invested in AI in 2025 — and employment among 22–25 year-old developers fell nearly 20%, signalling structural disruption to traditional entry-level tech routes.

displacementjob creationwages
$581B
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·2025

AI and the Labour Market: 2025 Update

300 million jobs exposed to AI globally — but net employment effects remain positive in advanced economies due to new job creation exceeding displacement.

displacementjob creation
300M
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·January 2026

Generative AI and Labour Markets (SDN/2026/001)

40% of global employment is exposed to AI — rising to 60% in advanced economies — with the highest-risk roles concentrated in services and white-collar work.

displacementskills
40%
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·March 2026

What AI Does to Work: A Task-Level Analysis

Structured tasks down 13% as AI takes over routine processing — but analytical, creative, and relationship-building tasks are up 20%, and these are better-paid.

augmentationskillswages
−13%
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·April 2026

AI Won't Kill Your Job. It'll Kill the Path to Your First One.

AI is not replacing experienced workers — it is collapsing the traditional on-ramp from junior to experienced, creating a structural problem for entry-level candidates.

displacementjob creation
−23%
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·2025

AI and the Future of Work: A Transition Framework

GPT-4 class models can perform at or above the median human level on 60–80% of white-collar tasks — but performance on complex, multi-step reasoning with real-world stakes remains limited.

augmentationdisplacementskills
60–80%
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·2025

Four Futures for Jobs: Scenarios to 2035

The future of work is not determined — it depends on policy, investment, and individual choice. In the best-case scenario, AI creates 60M more jobs than it destroys.

job creationdisplacementskills
60M
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